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Taliban units storm the borders with Iran, will an all-out war break out?
The reasons for the confrontation Iran AndThe Taliban Unresolved about water supply in border areas, and also has an ethnic and corporate component. It is linked to the drug trade.
And in fact, someone is skillfully pushing the region to start a full-scale war between countries. Meanwhile, I have The Taliban Also huge claims to neighboring Pakistan. which relates to the tribal region.
The Americans’ departure from Afghanistan simply washed away long-standing problems and negativity.
One of the leaders threatened The Taliban Abdolhamid Khorasani, Iran in his video message. He said that if necessary, the Taliban will launch military operations against Iran. Khorasani accused Iran of colluding with the West and said the Iranians should not test the Taliban’s strength.
He said: If the sheikhs of the Islamic Emirates allow us, we will invade Tehran
storming the Iranian border
After that, sources associated with the Taliban began to call on all Muslims to support them against Iran And the Taliban forces began storming the Iranian borders. between the provinces of Sistan and Baluchestan (Iran) and Nimruz (Afghanistan).
In turn, Iranian sources and media confirmed the information related to battles on the border using artillery shelling. And the attack on three border points (there are dead and wounded). Currently, both sides are accusing each other of being aggressive and starting the conflict first.
On the other hand, Kabul does not need complications with Tehran or Islamabad now. But in both Iran and Pakistan, which have nuclear weapons. There are huge social, political, economic, ethnic and social divides. So the temptation is great, and the Taliban may try to expand their “emirate.”
On the other hand, the Taliban really needs to legitimize their power not only within Afghanistan , but also in the eyes of the international community. And what happens at the border is very harmful to that.
There are many interested players in the world who want to prevent the integration of Afghanistan into the system of international relations. And leave it on the outskirts of civilization, controlling the production of heroin.
Therefore, prolonging the confrontation with Iran, not to mention Pakistan, will hurt in Afghanistan . In communication with Russia and China, and it will also make it impossible to lift various restrictions from the United Nations, because this is a global structure. It was he who recognized the Taliban as a terrorist organization.
All-out war will not happen
And, most likely, the border aggravation will not develop into war comprehensive between countries. The governments of these countries are not interested in it, as there are no serious benefits for it. And the risks are great, which cannot be said about the elites that control the neighboring provinces.
And these guys are always ready to “make some noise” to get more privileges. In addition, the Taliban is not a monolithic structure, but many factions, often competing. Therefore, a statement, even a loud, one-sided, even a very senior employee, also does not indicate the beginning of the war.
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