Analysts have described the “revolt” of Wagner’s forces against Russia as a pre-made charade in order to achieve specific goals. One of its goals is to reveal the reaction of Western countries and to show the flexibility of Russian President Vladimir Putin in maneuvering between Wagner and the army.
While other analysts believe that the real goal behind the “play” is to change a group of Russian leaders such as Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and Chief of Staff Valery Gerasimov, as well as to pave the way for launching an attack on Ukraine from the side of Belarus without involving the neighboring country in the conflict. Wagner’s forces were sent there under the pretext of exile after the “coup”, enabling them to launch an attack on Ukraine from the side of Belarus and the Russian army from the Russian borders until the battle for control of Kiev is resolved.
Wagner’s forces were now only 100 km from the Ukrainian capital, Kiev, on the Belarusian border after this camouflage move.